Fitch: The progress of inflation decline seems to have ended. Brian Coulton, chief economist of Fitch, said that the decline of core commodity prices (the main force of inflation decline this year) seems to have ended. With the increase of automobile prices, the core commodity prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month. Service inflation is declining, but the rate of decline is very slow, because rent inflation is stubborn, and the service inflation is 4.6%, which is still far higher than the pre-epidemic level.The Nasdaq 100 index rose to 1.2%, and the S&P 500 index rose 0.6%.Vanguard went against tradition and suggested the strategy of "six shares of debt and four shares" to deal with policy risks. In view of the high interest rate and stock valuation, Vanguard Group suggested that investors establish defensive positions in the new year and increase their investment in bonds instead of stocks. The company's 2025 outlook lists the asset allocation model built by economists and portfolio teams, which allocates 62% of the funds to fixed-income securities and the remaining 38% to stocks. In contrast, the ratio of stocks to bonds in the traditional portfolio is 60% to 40%. Although the US economy is still strong, the stock market valuation is close to historical highs, which makes stocks more vulnerable to potential policy risks after Trump takes office. At the same time, interest rates may remain higher than those in the 2010 s, thus providing investors with stable income and more protection in the case of risk aversion.
The Ministry of Commerce held a special promotion activity of "Investing in China" in the Middle East in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. According to the website of the Ministry of Commerce, on December 11th, the Ministry of Commerce held a special promotion activity of "Investing in China" in the Middle East and a docking activity of industrial capital between China and the Middle East. Ling Ji, Vice Minister of Commerce and Deputy Representative of International Trade Negotiations, and Zhang Yiming, Ambassador of China to the United Arab Emirates attended the event and delivered speeches. Zhao Haiying, deputy general manager of China Investment Corporation, Zhang Xiaodong, deputy governor of China Bank, and relevant officials of the UAE Ministry of Economy and Investment attended the event. 40 China enterprises from new energy, advanced manufacturing, biomedicine, information technology and other fields negotiated docking with more than 70 sovereign wealth funds and investment institutions in the Middle East, and some enterprises conducted on-site roadshows. Ling Ji said that the purpose of holding this "Invest in China" activity is to implement the important consensus reached by the leaders of China and Arab countries and push the two sides to deepen economic and trade cooperation. At present, China is fully promoting Chinese modernization with high-quality development, developing new quality productivity according to local conditions, and many high-quality enterprises have emerged in emerging frontier areas, which contain broad investment space. Innovation is an important link between China market and capital in the Middle East. China actively encourages venture capital and private equity investment, revises and improves the management measures for foreign investors' strategic investment in listed companies, and supports the development of science and technology enterprises. Welcome Middle East capital to seize the development opportunity of China and deepen cooperation with China in industrial innovation. The participating sovereign wealth funds and investment institutions in the Middle East said that China has a vast market, strong scientific and technological strength, efficient and reliable supply chain and abundant talent pool, and is an ideal destination for innovative investment. It is willing to invest in China and deepen its cultivation in China. Before the event, Ling Ji had a small-scale in-depth exchange with some representatives of sovereign wealth funds and investment institutions in the Middle East, and had a discussion with some representatives of China enterprises.Damascus, the capital of Syria, lifted the curfew, and the "Syrian Sham Liberation Army" announced the lifting of the curfew in Damascus on the 11th, and called on the Syrian people to return to work. The political situation in Syria changed dramatically on the 8th. On the same day, the "Syrian Sharm Liberation Armed Forces" announced "the liberation of Damascus and the overthrow of the Assad regime" and curfew measures. The Syrian transitional government, with Mohamed Bashir as caretaker prime minister, officially took over power on the 10th. (Xinhua News Agency)Market analysis: The US CPI report is in line with expectations, and the stock market will breathe a sigh of relief. Wasif Latif, chief investment officer of Sarmaya Partners, said that according to the latest US CPI report, the market will not be further impacted. Everything is in line with expectations, and the stock market seems to breathe a sigh of relief, because this is another steady report with no surprises. The stock market seems to be ready for higher-than-expected data, but since there is no accident, the market is relieved. Although the short-term bond market has some reaction, the long-term bond market has no reaction.
Bank of Canada: Canada's economic growth in the fourth quarter seems weaker than expected. Bank of Canada: Canada's economic growth in the fourth quarter seems weaker than expected. The United States may impose new tariffs on Canadian products exported to the United States, increasing uncertainty and casting a shadow over the economic prospects. Consumer spending and household activities both picked up in the third quarter, indicating that lower interest rates began to boost household spending. The growth in the fourth quarter may be weaker than the 2% annualized level expected by the central bank, and the average inflation rate is expected to be close to 2% in the next few years.Hershey's share price fell by about 4%.Broadcom's share price rose 4.3% before the market closed.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14